Saturday, May 23, 2009

Global economies Shrunk by huge margins

Many Countries are reporting that their economies have shrunk considerably, during the past 4 months. 

Singapore's economy has shrunk by 14.6%. 
Mexico's economy has shrunk by 8.2%
Eurozone countries economy has shrunk by 2.5%
Japan's economy has shrunk by 4%
Spains's economy has shrunk by 2.9%

While US has tightened the credit card loans today, consumer spending is all set to go down from what is today. Also, there is going to be another round of big layoffs in US due to GM and Chrysler Bankruptcies. This should be triggering another round of contraction in the global economy.  

Tough times for Globalization ahead.

Thursday, May 21, 2009

India decides - Electon'09 Mandate

India has elected Dr. Manmohan Singh again as the PM. He is the first PM to return to office after a very long time.  The popular rural schemes that provide employment and loan waivers have brought in the critical votes need to enable congress win substantial seats. The urban people also believe that Congress is a better alternative to the BJP. The anti-congress vote had split into 3rd front, 4th front and 5th front (smaller parties like Vijaykanth's DMDK in Tamil Nadu, Chiranjeevi's party in AP etc.), giving a good lead for the Congress.

The mandate for the PM and the popular schemes has been translated  as a mandate for Rahul Gandhi himself as future PM. The people are being tuned to accept Rahul as the next PM whenever Manmohan Singh retires.  

Saturday, May 16, 2009

Nano Housing for India

As the real estate prices have zoomed past the affordability of majority of Indian Middleclass, builders are adopting innovative strategies like reducing the height of the roofings, building single room studio apartments etc. 

Tata Group is now taking the lead in this sector also. It is launching a Nano housing project that will include properties in sizes like small one room kitchen, large one room kitchen and 1BHK. With a balanced mix of buildings and open spaces, these projects will be constructed under the guidance of Indian Green Building Council (IGBC).  Moreover, the value homes will be priced between Rs 3.9 lakh and Rs 6.7 lakh

The first township of this nationwide project will be developed inBoisar, with plans to expand into other Tier I and II markets in the country. With a Balanced mix of buildings and open spaces, these projects will be constructed under the guidance of Indian Green Building Council (IGBC).  The project will be known as "Shubh Griha Township" and will be built in Boisar, Mumbai.

I feel that having a Nano house in the bachelor stages of life, which for most people now extends to a decade, is better than having to live in a rented house (and spending one-third of one's salary).  But on the flipside, it would bring down the living standards of people where having  a two bedroom flat might mean you're a middleclass millionaire.

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

India in a Ring of Fire

While India has taken advantage of the globalization, its periphery - neighbouring countries have failed to do so. India's neighbours including Pakistan, Nepal, Srilanka and Myanmar are close to being "Failed States".  India now has to make strategic moves to pull its neighbours as China is already knocking on its doors. 

Home Minister Palaniappan Chidambaram says India is caught in a “ring of fire”. with War and misery blights Sri Lanka, with political ramifications in India; Bangladeshi politics remains volatile and the country eyes India with suspicion; the military junta in Myanmar is pro-China; Pakistan is wobbling under a spell of violence that has a direct bearing on India’s security.


The Economist magazine says a potential challenge to India’s rise is geopolitical (and the Nepal crisis bears that out). It says how successful a global power India becomes will depend partly on its ability to mediate and resolve the rising number of crises in its neighbourhood. 

The South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) is an economic and political organization of eight countries in Southern Asia. In terms of population, its sphere of influence is the largest of any regional organization: almost 1.5 billion people, the combined population of its member states. It was established on December 8, 1985 by India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Maldives and Bhutan. In April 2007, at the Association's 14th summit, Afghanistan became its eighth member.

India needs to leverage on the SAARC organization and bring about a geopolitical reorganization in the region if it has to compete meaningfully with China.

Links: 

Monday, May 11, 2009

Globalization ka Side Effects II

Just like the report "Globalization ka Side Effects", which talked about the death of one million work-aged Russians died due to the economic shock of mass privatisation policies, it is now reported that the phenomena is going to happen in India too.

Due to globalisation and a stressful working environment hypertension threatens to wallop the work force in India, according to a survey.

The Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India (Assocham) and the PricewaterhouseCoopers (PWC) in a joint report said 65 million people were affected by hypertension in 2008 and that in the years ahead it was likely to see a quantum leap of over 135 million to touch a figure of 200 million by 2015.

Threat to well-being

The desperation to protect one’s livelihood in this era of changing economy, with little medical facilities to cope with the situation, was posing a major threat to the well-being of the working force, maintained Assocham president Sajjan Jindal.

Productive years

India is losing its potentially productive years due to increasing heart diseases, strokes and diabetes in the age group of 35-60, one of the highest in the world, according to the report.

More

Sunday, May 10, 2009

How does a Trillion dollar look like?

The US Bail out is said to cost around a Trillion dollars. Have you wondered how much would a Trillion Dollar look like? someone has done an illustration. Here is a visualization of how a Trillion Dollar would look like :

Here is a Hundred Dollar Note :



This is Ten Thousand Dollars :


This is a Million Dollars:


This is One Hundred Million Dollars:




This is one Billion Dollars :





This is One Trillion :


Visualized by : http://www.pagetutor.com/trillion/index.html

Thursday, May 7, 2009

China is the G-2 now

China is leveraging the US Financial Crisis to the fullest as it has leapfrogged in two of the Key Industrial Segments. The Newsweek, last week, explored in a cover story, whether Shangai is the New Detroit. This week, Rana Foroohar wonders whether Shangai is also the Next Wall Street. China has become the biggest Auto Market and they are also pressing ahead with important financial reforms including launching their own version of NASDAQ and making its currency more convertible. 

A user commenting on the article, had  summed it up : China is G-2.


Excerpts from the articles :


1. Shanghai is the new Detroit

American tastes dominated the world's automotive market for a century, but all that's changing now. Today it's the increasingly well-to-do Chinese car-buyer that industry wants to woo and win, thanks to this incredible fact—China has, over the last three months running, surpassed the U.S. in terms of volume sales of automobiles.

The future of auto design was on display last week at the Shanghai Auto Show, where, in 30 football fields worth of space, international and domestic carmakers vied for the attention of Chinese consumers. The timing of the biennial event, China's oldest international auto show, was fortuitous. No one expected the Middle Kingdom to nab first place in the global auto market from America for at least another decade, but the financial crisis has had a sharp dampening effect on U.S. sales. The Chinese, meanwhile, spurred on by their government's enormous stimulus package, have kept spending. Beijing's 2009 auto sales target is 10 million units, an increase of 10 percent from 2008, and a figure that would cement its position, with an estimated 1 million more unit sales than the U.S. "No one expected China to emerge as the leading volume market this fast," says William Russo, a Beijing-based business consultant who specializes in the automotive sector. "This will give China a huge say in setting the standards and architecture for the entire industry.

If Beijing gets its way, the future will be small, green and—of course—made in China. The shock of the global financial crisis, and the resulting need to stimulate the auto sector has persuaded Beijing to dig deep into government coffers with more than $733 million to promote the rural sales of small cars and trucks (which domestic makers specialize in) and $220 million to fund and upgrade new green automotive technologies that many consider to be the wave of the future for the industry. Ultimately, Chinese planners want to create a new Detroit—a leaner, meaner, cleaner global automotive hub.



2. Shangai is the new Wall Street.

Shanghai is the new Detroit. Now, I'm beginning to wonder if it may soon be the new Wall Street. As I've written and blogged in the past, the fact that the world's top three banks by market capitalization are now Chinese isn't as big a deal as it might seem -- they are still local, commercial players, not global investment banks a la Morgan Stanley or Goldman Sachs.

Despite the market downturn, the Chinese are launching their own version of NASDAQ later this month, in order to help fund small and mid sized businesses that aren't benefiting as much from the massive stimulus package (yet still create the majority of jobs). They are also moving ahead with developing more complex securities (though not those crazy credit default swaps that tanked markets over here), and making their currency more convertible.

The Chinese could have used the financial crisis as a reason to turn their back on capital market reform -- instead, they are pushing ahead with it, and will likely gain global financial market share as a result. Wen Jiabao recently said as much when he told the Chinese that this is a moment for "more, not less" reform. It's such a cliché, but I'm reminded yet again of the fact that the Chinese use the same character to write "danger" and "opportunity."

Wednesday, May 6, 2009

The Indian Realty

This is a short story passed around through emails between Indian IT people. I think Indian Social Media is starting to get interesting. People are now starting to wonder about who is the real beneficiary of the IT boom in India.

ONE BEDROOM APARTMENT... .....

WRITTEN BY AN INDIAN SOFTWARE ENGINEER...

 A Bitter Reality

As the dream of most parents I had acquired a degree in
Software Engineering and joined a company based in USA, the
land of braves and opportunity. When I arrived in the USA , it
was as if a dream had come true.


Here at last I was in the place where I want to be. I decided I
would be staying in this country for about Five years in which
time I would have earned enough money to settle down in India .

My father was a government employee and after his retirement,
the only asset he could acquire was a decent one bedroom apt.


I wanted to do some thing more than him. I started fe el ing
homesick and lon el y as the time passed. I used to call home and
speak to my parents every week using cheap international phone
cards. Two years passed, two years of fast food at McDonald's and
pizzas  and 2 years watching the foreign exchange
rate getting happy whenever the Rupee value went down.

Finally I decided to get married. Told my parents that I have
only 10 days of holidays and everything must be done within
these 10 days. I got my ticket booked in the cheapest flight.
Was jubilant and was actually enjoying hopping for gifts for
all my friends back home. If I miss anyone then there will be
talks. After reaching home I spent home one week going through
all the photographs of girls and as the time was getting
shorter I was forced to s el ect one candidate.


In-laws told me, to my surprise, that I would have to get
married in 2-3 days, as I will not get anymore holidays. After
the marriage, it was time to return to USA , after giving some
money to my parents and t el ling the neighbors to look after
them, we returned to USA .


My wife enjoyed this country for about two months and then she
started fe el ing lon el y. The frequency of calling India
increased to twice in a week sometimes 3 times a week. Our
savings started diminishing.



After two more years we started to
have kids. Two lov el y kids, a boy and a girl, were gifted to us
by the almighty. Every time I spoke to my parents, they asked
me to come to India so that they can see their grand-children.


Every year I decide to go to India ... But part work part
monetary conditions prevented it. Years went by and visiting
India was a distant dream. Then suddenly one day I got a
message that my parents were seriously sick. I tried but I
couldn't get any holidays and thus could not go to India ... The
next message I got was my parents had passed away and as there
was no one to do the last rights the society members had done
whatever they could. I was depressed. My parents had passed
away without seeing their grand children.


After couple more years passed away, much to my children's
dislike and my wife's joy we returned to India to settle down.
I started to look for a suitable property, but to my dismay my
savings were short and the property prices had gone up during
all these years. I had to return to the USA ...


My wife refused to come back with me and my children refused to
stay in India ... My 2 children and I returned to USA after
promising my wife I would be back for good after two years.

Time passed by, my daughter decided to get married to an
American and my son was happy living in USA ... I decided that
had enough and wound-up every thing and returned to India ... I
had just enough money to buy a decent 02 bedroom APT in a
w el l-dev el oped locality.


Now I am 60 years old and the only time I go out of the APT is
for the routine visit to the nearby temple. My faithful wife
has also left me and gone to the holy abode.

Sometimes



I wondered was it worth all this?



My father, even after staying in India ,



Had a house to his name and I too have
the same nothing more.

I lost my parents and children for just ONE EXTRA BEDROOM.

Looking out from the window I see a lot of children dancing.
This damned cable TV has spoiled our new generation and these
children are losing their values and culture because of it. I
get occasional cards from my children asking I am alright. W el l
at least they remember me.


Now perhaps after I die it will be the neighbors again who will
be performing my last rights, God Bless them.



But the question
still
remains 'was all this worth it?'

I am still searching for an answer...... .......... ..!!!



START THINKING



IS IT JUST FOR ONE EXTRA BEDROOM???



LIFE IS BEYOND THIS .....DON'T JUST LEAVE YOUR LIFE ........

START LIVING IT ........

LIVE IT AS YOU WANT IT TO BE ........



Tuesday, May 5, 2009

All Slumdogs are not millionaires

India's booming economy has helped marginalise the growing number of impoverished city dwellers while lifting millions out of poverty, a government report by Professor Amitabh Kundu, the chief coordinator of the "India Urban Poverty Report 2009", which was released in New Delhi.

"When you're watching the process of development, where you stand is very important -- whether you see the speed of the engine or you get overwhelmed by the smoke".

The urban poor accounted for 25.7 percent of the country's total urban population in 2004-5 compared with 49.01 percent in 1973-74, said the report which defines urban poor as anyone living on less than 20 rupees ($.41) a day. However, the rate of overall decline in poverty slowed from 0.82 percentage points per year from 1973-74 to 1983-84, to 0.61 percentage points from 1993-94 to 2004-05, the report said, revealing the flip-side of the country's economic success. India's economy grew at around 9 percent in each of the past three years. "Certain aspects of economic development and the changes associated strongly with the process of urbanisation in India have created a backwash effect for the poorer sections of the urban community," the report said. The "backwash" is also blamed on the decline or relocation of traditional industries such as textiles and steel. "The urban workers are increasingly being pushed into the informal sector," the report said.

Mass slum clearances have driven workers, such as those in domestic service, away from their place of work and pushed many into crime, the report said. "When the urban poor are pushed away from the place of his/her livelihood, the result is complete loss of livelihood. As a result, many of the poor are pushed into crime."

Source : Boom marginalises India's urban poor-report